The coalition was extraordinary because it included
such a broad spectrum of political conviction in Israel, from right-wing
pro-settler parties like Bennett’s Yamina to centre-left Yesh Atid (Lapid’s
party) and even, for the first time ever, an Islamic party, the United Arab
List.
The moment of grace was the loyalty and even friendship shown by Bennett and
Lapid, political and ideological opponents who rose above the bitter divisions
of a fragmented
Israeli political scene characterised by defections
and betrayals.
They did not blame each other for the coalition’s collapse. They treated each
other with respect. Bennett even kept his word to share the top job in rotation
with Lapid, who will become prime minister of the transitional government for
the months between now and the next election, probably in late October.
“They are political rivals who were wise enough to create a rare partnership,
almost utopian by Israeli political standards. They began nicely and ended even
better. We were as dreamers – is this Israel, or Denmark?,” wrote ‘Haaretz’
journalist Yossi Verter. But these two men apart, it’s Israel. Definitely
Israel.
The eight-party coalition had one unifying principle: to stop ‘Bibi’ (Binyamin
Netanyahu, prime minister for most of the past 25 years) from coming back to
power yet again. It could only work by concentrating on social issues (where
there was some agreement) while preserving the status quo on ‘security’,
settler violence and Palestinian rights.
Even so, the attempt to hold such a spectacularly diverse coalition together
was ultimately sunk by the defections of members who felt morally compromised
by working with people of such radically different views. It only had 62
Members of the Knesset out of 120 to start with, and just three MKs quitting,
one at a time, destroyed its parliamentary majority.
So will Netanyahu be back in power again after October? He’s still on trial for
breach of trust, accepting bribes, and fraud, but the coalition didn’t get
around to banning people on trial for felonies from becoming prime minister, so
it’s certainly possible.
That was why Netanyahu strove so hard to bring the coalition down, getting the
opposition to vote against every single coalition measure. The Knesset and the
country are so evenly balanced that any reshuffle of the deck is another chance
to win.
Netanyahu even got his allies in the Knesset to vote against another five-year
extension of the regulation that places Jewish settlers in the West Bank under
Israeli civil law, not the military law that controls life for Arabs in the
occupied territories.
That normally goes through automatically, without debate, but Netanyahu’s Likud
Party and its allies voted against it despite the fact they are pro-settler
parties. Bibi knew that
the four Arab members of the coalition government
couldn’t bring themselves to vote for the settlers having special rights, so
the measure failed and the coalition fell.
Actually, everything political in Israel is ultimately about the settlers and
the occupation now, and the country is split down the middle with almost
surgical precision. That’s why it was so hard to make an anti-Bibi coalition,
but it’s just as hard to form a pro-Bibi one.
Few people realised that this was the future they were creating when Israel won
the 1967 war and conquered substantial Arab-populated territories in the West
Bank, the Gaza Strip and the Golan Heights.
Between the 1948 war, when most Arabs fled or were driven from what then became
Israel, and the Six-Day War of 1967, about 85% of Israel’s population was
Jewish. After Israel’s victory in that war, about half the population on the
land now controlled by Israel was Arab and either Muslim or Christian.
That is still the case today, although the Gaza Strip has been turned into an
open-air prison that is technically not in Israel. So unless you are planning
to give the occupied territories back, you can have a democratic Israel where
half the population is Arabs, or a Jewish Israel where half the population has
no political rights.
That’s the choice that divides and paralyses the country, and there’s no
decision on the horizon. Bibi is the standard-holder for all those Israeli Jews
who favour a bigger country but one where most Palestinian Arabs are not
citizens, and he may be back in power by the end of the year.
Gwynne Dyer is an independent journalist whose articles are published in 45 countries.
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